Two Cape Town apartments recently went viral for their overpriced monthly rent. A modest apartment in Green Point was going for R22,000 while another small unit in Durbanville was advertised at R16,000, despite needing repairs and having an ‘ugly kitchen’ with broken appliances. Social media users criticised the price-quality mismatch, noting that similar or better homes in Joburg cost far less.  

Affordability concerns like these are a key reason why tenants are relocating from the Western Cape, according to nearly 80% of rental agents in PayProp’s 2025 State of the Rental Industry report. “Even more concerning, the vast majority of South African households (80%) are priced out of the formal housing market because their monthly income is under R26,000,” says Renier Kriek, MD of innovative home finance business Sentinel Homes. “We have an undersupply of about three million formal housing units.”

Living in Cape Town is particularly pricey, with average property sale prices increasing from R1.6 million in 2020 to R2.1 million in 2025. In contrast, Johannesburg’s prices have remained relatively flat over this period, staying on average between R1 million and R1.5 million, according to property analytics firm Lightstone.

Soaring rent 
“Obviously the higher capital values mean that people who buy for investment require a higher nominal return, which means the rents go up,” says Kriek. This has been happening in the Western Cape, where the PayProp Rental Index shows 9.6% year-on-year rental growth and average monthly rents reaching R11,285 in Q1/2025 – significantly higher than Gauteng (R9201), KwaZulu-Natal (R9170) and the Eastern Cape (R7330). 

Rent control 
Calls for rent control in Cape Town are getting louder. The idea is to cap rent increases to make housing more affordable. However, this may win populist votes and provide short-term relief for tenants, but won’t fix the housing shortfall, says Kriek, pointing to unsuccessful rent control in cities like New York, Berlin, Stockholm or Tokyo. While rent control impacts the entire property market, it ironically hits hardest in the low-income band – those who should benefit the most. 

“Rent control leads to underinvestment and poorly maintained units as landlords have limited incentives to maintain or expand their rental stocks because their profits are capped,” says Kriek. Another problem is misallocation, where some tenants will stay in rent-controlled units even when these no longer match their needs. By blocking the units for people who genuinely need them, they create an inefficient housing distribution that worsens the undersupply further. 

“Rent control is the most efficient technique currently known to destroy a city - short of bombing.”

Making small units profitable
There’s ample private sector money available to invest in rental housing, says Kriek but government needs to change the market design that makes this segment unprofitable. Small units are more expensive per square metre to build – and sell – than larger ones. 

In addition, he says, tenants in affordable units (sub-R7000 rent/month) are more frequently in rent arrears than higher-income tenants as they feel economic pressure harder. The number of ‘squatting’ tenants (who haven’t paid rent for three consecutive months and are still occupying the property in the fourth month) is also increasing: the TPN Squat Index rose from 3.48% in Q4/2023 to 3.71% in Q2/2024.

Legal protection of landlords
The balance of power is unduly tipped against landlords and needs to be levelled, says Kriek. “The law that governs evictions, the Prevention of Illegal Eviction and Unlawful Occupation of Land Act (PAI), isn’t fit for purpose. 

It was designed to evict land squatters but due to poor drafting it also applies to the eviction of tenants who don’t pay their rent or refuse to move out when legally required.” This makes the process unnecessarily expensive, time-consuming and open to exploitation. 

“Historically, eviction is sensitive topic in SA,” concludes Kriek. “But if we don’t allow strict enforcement of payment obligations, then landlords won’t invest in rental housing, which is the easiest and the quickest way, using the least amount of government resources, to fix our housing undersupply.” 

ENDS

Recently, the South African Reserve Bank reduced the repo rate by 25 basis points but the real interest rate remains far too high to spur meaningful capital investment by South Africa’s private sector. While the news brings some welcome relief to property owners, it’s another disappointment for the country’s real economy.

This is according to Renier Kriek, Managing Director at Sentinel Homes. “The SARB has consistently preached that their policy bible contains only one chapter, titled ‘inflation targeting’, which requires sticking to within their 3–6% inflation target band and anchoring inflation expectations at the 4.5% midpoint,” he says.

“Their messaging has consistently and unfailingly pledged that their mandate is the only consideration that guides their decisions.”

False policy
Yet, inflation has remained low over an extended period, currently sitting at 2.8%, leaving the opportunity for a softening of monetary policy wide open. Why then has the SARB stubbornly refused to reduce the interest rate accordingly, even as inflation hovers at or below the bottom of their target band?

Despite preaching vague and opaque ‘risks to the upside’ to justify their hawkishness in recent years, it’s clear that the  SARB has been disingenuous – in short, they have been lying to us. That was made plain for the first time today, but it has long been evident there is a secret driver of their decisions.

“It was clear with the announcement that the SARB’s policy bible has contained a new chapter, which is their anticipated future mandate, and they have already been guided by that expanded gospel, despite the existence of the chapter having been secret and further despite the content of the chapter not having been agreed to with Treasury and other stakeholders,” says Kriek.

Why now?
The argument advanced by the Monetary Policy Committee, by way of Governor Kganyago’s statement and answers to questions during the press conference, is that the MPC wishes to deal a decisive blow to inflation in the long term, transforming the SA economy to a low(er) inflation economy.

This will also mean lower interest rates for longer in future, per the MPC’s reasoning, since lower inflation economies generally tend to have lower inflation rates.

“However, the question is why do we want to do this now?” says Kriek. “Moving to a lower inflation target will likely have long-term positive consequences for the SA economy, but it will also involve near-dated discomfort. Essentially, the MPC is promising short-term pain for long-term gain.”

“The SA economy is a very frail patient at the moment and keeping interest rates at current high levels in order to achieve longer-term outcomes is a risky gambit. We should at least be asking, and this is as much about political calculation as economic policy, whether we should not attempt monetary stimulus first, getting the economy out of its bandages, and attempt the MPC’s incisive reforms once the patient is back on its feet.”

Impact of delinquency
The property sector has shown signs of broad-based recovery, with price lines across all the metros trending upwards in Stats SA’s latest Residential Property Price Index.

The cumulative 75 bps cuts, with a further cut at today’s meeting, have already had the effect of bringing previously pent-up demand spilling into the residential property market. However, while these are green shoots, the market is still under significant strain.

According to National Credit Regulator statistics, home loan delinquency is up 35% in the last 3 years, signifying the tremendous pressure households are experiencing related to their finances.

“This sharp increase in delinquency will come home to roost soon, as a sudden influx of distressed stock in the market is likely to drive prices down in the face of relatively tepid demand,” says Kriek.

A small window of opportunity
Households seeking to enter the market should not delay any further. The MPC found that a neutral policy should be 25 bps lower than the new repo rate of 7.25%, meaning we can expect at least one more cut in the near future.

So, it is more likely than not that the upwards momentum evidenced by the aforementioned green shoots will be sustained and expanded as the market adjusts to lower rates.

The decision at the next meeting will be led by the MPC’s insistence on pre-emptive management of monetary policy through its anticipated new mandate, and so the CPI inflation reports from now until the next meeting in July 2025 will have to be watched closely.

“It seems that if inflation inches higher even slightly, the MPC’s overly hawkish instincts will rule decision-making at the next meeting, favouring keeping rates steady despite low employment and flaccid economic growth,” says Kriek.

ENDS

Competing precedents, including a recent court case involving a home buyer who got cold feet, wanted to walk away from the deal but couldn’t, have sparked discussions in South Africa’s property law circles. The judge ruled in favor of the seller, because both parties had signed a contract that became binding as soon as the buyer’s credit provider issued its “approval in principle”.
 
“Some people misinterpreted the ruling, or disagree with it - saying it wasn’t fair,” says Renier Kriek, MD of Sentinel Homes. Yet the judgement followed centuries of contract law precedent by focusing only on the following question: At what stage did the purchase agreement become binding, before or after the property finance had been accepted by the buyer? 
 
“Obtaining finance is a process, unlike a turning on a light switch, it’s not instant and even positive results arrive piecemeal,” says Kriek. “When you sign an offer to purchase a property and require a home loan, there’s usually a condition that your loan must be approved before a certain date. This is called “suspensive condition” – meaning that only once this condition is fulfilled, the contract will become final and binding.  
 
“Buyers and sellers need to understand the suspensive condition in their contract, especially as they generally have competing interests in terms of what stage the deal should become final,” he says. “It’s therefore important to phrase your contract without ambiguity, so it’s not open to misinterpretation.”
 
Real-life consequences
Contract law may sound academic, but it has serious, real-life consequences. Since nobody wants to lose their deposit, Kriek urges buyers to fully grasp the financing process: When a home loan provider assesses your application to buy a house, and is satisfied lending you the money, it will first issue an approval in principle (AIP).
 
Then it conducts a valuation, before eventually issuing a prescribed document called pre-agreement statement and quotation. According to the NCA, the buyer has five days to accept the pre-agreement statement and quotation, which then becomes a final offer of finance.
 
“From the seller’s perspective, it would be best if the agreement of sale would likely contain a clause stating that the contract becomes binding as soon as the home loan provider issues the AIP,” says Kriek.
 
“From the buyer’s perspective, however, this clause poses a risk: it means you’re bound to the sales agreement, the sale is final, and your deposit could be on the line, even before you have agreed to the interest rate and other finance conditions suggested by the home loan provider.”
 
Ideally, he advises buyers to ensure the sale is only binding once:
a) the bank has issued the pre-agreement statement and quotation, and
b) you have accepted it. “This means you can only lose your deposit or be forced to buy the property once you have agreed to the terms of the credit proposed to you.” 
 
Check the nitty-gritty
Also watch out for home loan approvals that require the submission of approved building plans. As a rule, your offer to purchase should require the seller to do so.
 
But if this clause is missing, the seller won’t be obliged to provide the building plans, even if your home loan provider requires these. This makes you as the buyer responsible for obtaining the plans. It’s not only time-consuming but if plans can’t be approved, due to unauthorised building works, your deposit may once again be at risk.
 
This also applies to any other conditions your home loan provider may have. You have to ensure that these conditions are also in the sale agreement, so that the two documents tie into each other.
 
For these reasons, Kriek urges buyers to get legal advice before signing their offer to purchase. Don’t rely only on the property practitioner or others linked to the seller No-one should take a high cost and high liability decision like buying a home without expert legal and other professional advice, such as from a registered property practitioner and bond originator.
 
Ultimately, understanding the nitty-gritty of your contract should help you avoid financial losses and enjoy a smoother property transfer.  
 
ENDS

 
MEDIA CONTACT: Rosa-Mari Le Roux, [email protected], 060 995 6277, www.atthatpoint.co.za 
 
For more information on Sentinel Homes please visit:
Website: www.sentinelhomes.co.za
Facebook: Sentinel Homes
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South Africa has a housing supply backlog of at least 2.2 million units, with a significant shortage in the affordable housing or “gap market”, according to a recent study by the Centre for Affordable Housing Finance (CAHF).

The gap housing market is generally considered to be households earning too much to qualify for Reconstruction and Development Programme (RDP) housing but too little to obtain traditional bank-financed homes in the open market.

Renier Kriek, MD at Sentinel Homes, says 40% of consumers fall into the RDP housing category (household incomes below R3 500 per month) and the wealthiest 30% of households are well-served by the open housing market.

Massive demand
The gap market is the middle 30% of consumers where the supply of housing stock is extremely low and even declining despite massive demand. Kriek argues that a market design error is to blame for this high demand going unmet. Adverse market design disincentivises the holders of capital to invest in affordable housing.

The biggest hurdle relates to the unnecessary prolix, cumbersome, and expensive processes that are associated with evictions and foreclosures. The cost of resetting the transaction (evict or foreclose) is prohibitive in South Africa and does not match market circumstances.

South Africa should adjust their regulatory environment to favour private sector investment and the expansion of supply. 

“We need to reduce the transaction cost for the holders of capital to take their chances on consumers who are not acceptable risks in the unduly high tenure security environment. In this way, some people will move into the formal housing market and fall out again, and perhaps more than once in their lifetime. If we go through enough of these cycles eventually everyone will be housed.”

Kriek admits that this solution may sound slightly callous and counterintuitive to the casual listener.

“The alternative, retaining our restrictive policy environment, is even more callous and is currently barring people from ever getting the opportunity to enter the formal housing market. What use is being born free if you will never realise that constitutionally mandated right of access to adequate housing?”

Unintended consequences
Another prevalent and reasonably fixable market design problem relates to government subsidies. The Department of Human Settlements has been offering the First Home Finance (FHF) subsidy, previously called FliSP to households in the gap housing market.

It aims to subsidize affordable first-time home-ownership opportunities for households with income from R3 501 up to R22 000 per month. It is an inverse means-tested subsidy, meaning that the cash grant is lower the higher the household income becomes.

“Millions of rands earmarked for this subsidy have remained unclaimed in the past and continue to remain unclaimed. This is not because people do not know about the incentive or do not desire it. The first challenge is the relative scarcity of gap housing stock, which is driven by poor demand due to incentives that are adverse to the deployment of capital in this segment, whether by landlords or home loan providers.”

Kriek argues that the subsidy design has unintended consequences resulting in market participants, such as estate agents, being unwilling to sell to subsidy recipients. “Due to overzealous fraud prevention measures and perhaps also an unwillingness to integrate into the existing market infrastructure, government has traditionally insisted that the registered title deed contains the name of the subsidy recipient before they release the subsidy amount.”

This means that the subsidy portion is usually received months after the transfer, unlike all other funds in a property transaction which are secured by third party payment functionaries such as banks or attorneys.

This makes each property transfer involving a subsidy inordinately complex, and everyone involved prefers doing the same transaction with a consumer who does not rely on a subsidy. Usually, it’s the estate agent waiting for the subsidy payment to receive their commission, and that is simply an unacceptable adverse incentive if government’s intention is to have the subsidy reach its intended recipients.”

Though recent developments seem to favour fixing the market design shortcomings of FHF, the administration of the subsidy remains positively byzantine. There is a national subsidy authority, that can approve and pay subsidies, and a separate subsidy authority for each of the provinces, each with a unique set of rules and procedures and a separate application procedure.

This is a quagmire for lower income consumers to navigate successfully, especially where those who rely on subsidies are already viewed negatively by market intermediaries such as estate agents and transferring attorneys.

It will take significant political capital to implement market design solutions that can solve the problems facing the gap housing market. If we do nothing it may even get worse, says Kriek, who fears that the current government may not have the ability to adequately diagnose the problem, and much less the political will to affect the necessary policy and regulatory changes.

However, if it could succeed, the job creation that could follow finding solutions to the problem of housing supply could go a long way toward achieving the job creation efforts of government recently articulated in the President’s State of the Nation address to parliament.

ENDS
 
MEDIA CONTACT: Rosa-Mari Le Roux, [email protected], 060 995 6277, www.atthatpoint.co.za 
For more information on Sentinel Homes please visit:
Website: www.sentinelhomes.co.za

It's not easy to get a mortgage on your dream home if you're not employed full time and earning a fixed salary. Freelancers, those working on commission or sourcing their income from gigs, and many other independent earners, often find themselves facing a brick wall when applying for a home loan from banks.
 
However, more people than ever are becoming self-employed in these fields and are seeking easier alternatives to a traditional mortgage bond. This is according to Renier Kriek, Managing Director at Sentinel Homes, which specialises in financing home ownership through instalment sale agreements.
 
How does it work?
"Instalment sale agreements are steadily becoming popular not just among those that do not qualify for a bond but also many who do not fit the salaried mould for which the mortgage model was specifically developed," says Kriek.
 
An instalment sale makes acquiring a home similar to buying a vehicle on hire purchase. In Sentinel's case, the company finances the purchase and the buyer repays the value of the property in monthly instalments.
 
Although the company holds the title deed, the buyer enjoys all the rights and responsibilities of ownership during the period of the contract. Once the purchase price is repaid in full, total ownership is transferred to the buyer.
 
"On the surface, there is little difference between buying with a bond or via an instalment sale," says Kriek. “The only practical difference is the procedure followed when the buyers do not pay their instalment, but even in that case, an instalment sale is to their advantage.”
 
However, an instalment sale agreement offers several advantages to this class of homeowner.
 
Improved affordability
Because a freelancer or a self-employed person’s income may vary from month to month, the bank will only consider a portion of their earnings. So, even if they qualify for a home loan, they will likely have to settle for a cheaper property or fund any shortfall on the purchase price themselves.
 
Through an instalment sale, up to 100% of their income is assessed. “This gives the purchaser more freedom to choose a property they really want,” says Kriek.
 
Improved credit score
An instalment sale allows a buyer to acquire a valuable asset sooner and improve their credit score in the process. As the property’s value increases and their financial position grows over time, they may become a more attractive borrower. And they do not risk being caught in a rent trap while the values of homes continue to increase.
 
"Many of our clients have been granted bonds on the basis of their instalment payment history and were able to settle our instalment agreement early from bond refinance," says Kriek.
 
Lower default risk
When a borrower defaults on their mortgage, they face losing their property through a sheriff’s auction, having adverse judgements against them, and being blacklisted for 5 years or more. This impedes their ability to acquire another property and obtain any credit, and may even limit employment opportunities.
 
However, with an instalment sale agreement, they have more options, including negotiating their position and, ultimately, selling the property to pay off their debt. "Even then, they retain a clean record and we have assisted clients that eventually recovered from such a position to buy another property," says Kriek.
 
Protected by law
As with a mortgage, the contract is governed by the very comprehensive National Credit Act. Another law, the Alienation of Land Act, also applies, ensuring the rights of the parties to the agreement are fully protected. Instalment sales are also registered against the title deed of the property.
 
A growing market
As more people start to freelance or work in other independent fields with irregular income, owning a home through an instalment sale agreement promises a logical alternative to mortgage bonds.
 
"It is apparent that an instalment sale agreement offers better advantages, more protection and greater flexibility to those who dream of owning a home without sacrificing their financial independence," says Kriek.

ENDS
 
MEDIA CONTACT: Rosa-Mari Le Roux, [email protected], 060 995 6277, www.atthatpoint.co.za 
 
For more information on Sentinel Homes please visit:
Website: www.sentinelhomes.co.za
Facebook: Sentinel Home