A path to financial security is home ownership.  Since there is no rule saying your first property must be a home to live in, you have the freedom to buy the home you can afford as the best way of getting started.
 
Asset prices have escalated much faster than wage increases over the past 70 years and that trend is likely to continue. This simply means that homes are becoming less affordable, says Renier Kriek, MD of Sentinel Homes, a non-bank home loan provider.
 
“If the trend of decoupling asset and wage prices is going to continue the best bet is to get into the property market sooner rather than later. Particularly when there are so many bargains to be had.”
First time home buyers are progressively becoming older because of affordability. It has moved from around 30 to 32 years to around 38 to 40 years.
 
“You must get in earlier to buck this trend. If you wait until the time you can afford your dream home you may never be able to achieve that goal.”
 
It is now a buyer’s market. Kriek explains that South Africa is coming off from a high-inflation-high-interest-rate cycle. “Inflation has become a more manageable beast, and market watchers are starting to predict a decline in interest rates next year.”
 
Time the market
Unfortunately, very few people act until they see the first rate cut. By then the cat is out of the bag and the market will change quite rapidly. “If you want to time the market you have to buy now.”
 
Kriek says first time buyers who can afford to acquire a real estate asset at current interest rates will likely be able to afford it through the cycle; and they are unlikely to purchase a property they can’t afford. “The ugly duckling may be a better start than the shiny house on the hill.”
 
He also suggests that prospective buyers use a bond originator to get prequalification for a home loan. “It shows that you are a serious purchaser, which makes everyone so much more willing and able to help.”
 
Real estate, whether it is your own home or an investment property, comes with expenses and tax consequences. However, if you do not want to live from wage-to-wage for the rest of your life then some sacrifices are called for to enter the property market.
 
“Every goal has some sacrifices and the sacrifices for financial goals are of the living standard kind. If you want to truly benefit from asset ownership you will have to suffer some short term discomfort. That is reality.”
 
Take the leap
Owning inflation-beating assets, like residential real estate in the correct areas and markets, is generally a good idea. Kriek has 19 years of property investment experience.
 
His advice: 

• Save for a deposit; it gives you leverage to negotiate a lower interest rate.
• Research; look at tenant vacancy rates and payment behaviours in different areas.
• Be astute, notice and make use of financial opportunities.
• Don’t get too bogged down in the preparations;  at some point you must take the leap and buy.
• Don’t underestimate the power of leverage. That is using other people’s money to ramp up your investment returns. Residential property is the safest way to use leverage to create wealth.
• The magic of compounding means the sooner you start the better.

​ENDS
 
MEDIA CONTACT: Rosa-Mari Le Roux, rosa-mari@atthatpoint.co.za, 060 995 6277, www.atthatpoint.co.za 
 
For more information on Sentinel Homes please visit:
Website: www.sentinelhomes.co.za
Facebook: Sentinel Homes

South Africans who have been hesitating to buy a new home due to high interest rates may finally be able to take the plunge.
 
"For the first time since April 2022, the Consumer Price Index (CPI) has fallen back within the Reserve Bank’s target band of between 3-6 percent," says Renier Kriek, Managing Director at Sentinel Homes.
 
According to Kriek, a lower CPI indicates that inflation has potentially peaked. This will likely mean stabilization of the market interest rates and a repo rate reduction could even be on the way.
 
Signs that inflation is falling
Since the disruption to world economies caused by COVID-19, several factors subsequently contributed to high global inflation, from which South Africa was not spared.
 
Inflation often occurs because the difference between consumer demand for items and producers' ability to supply them causes their prices to increase too sharply to remain affordable. It may also result from a drop in the relative purchasing value of money due to various economic factors. Inflation in South Africa is measured through the Consumer Price Index (CPI) compiled by Stats SA.
 
The South African Reserve Bank (SARB) follows a policy of keeping any changes in the CPI within a range of 3 to 6 percent year-on-year, preferring to keep it anchored at 5 percent.
 
Even before local CPI breached 6 percent earlier last year, SARB moved to reign in inflation with 10 consecutive increases in the repo rate, to the current level of 8.25 percent.
 
Interest rates consumers are charged on their debt, such as the prime rate, are linked to the repo rate. This means that rises in the repo rate makes repayments on debts like home, car and personal loans more expensive, forcing consumers to curb non-essential purchases and bringing rampant price increases down.
 
However, on 21 July 2023, the SARB's Monetary Policy Committee announced the repo rate would stay unchanged at 8.25 percent, saying it remains cautious. The main reason a further increase was avoided is the drop in the CPI from almost 7 percent in April to only 5.4 percent in July. The July CPI was even lower than what economists predicted.
 
"For consumers, this means that, barring unforeseen increases in inflation, the repo rate will remain steady and might even be reduced in September, when the Committee meets again," says Kriek.
 
Are there homes to buy?
The South African economy created 1.2 million new jobs between the first quarter of 2022 and the first quarter of 2023, despite challenges like inflation, loadshedding and poor service delivery. If the repo rate drops as expected, this will put even more money in people's pockets and boost economic activity.
 
In short, things are looking up for South Africans, especially those with their hearts set on buying a home.
 
Although estate agents report a shortage of stock from resilient homeowners desperate to keep their properties, home loan debtors are clearly facing heavy stress from current high interest rates.
 
The National Credit Regulator reports that while the number of mortgages not in arrears are usually around 91 percent of total home loans, the first quarter of 2023 saw a drop to 88.85 percent. The arrears rate has steadily increased as interest rates climbed higher.
 
"Banks will likely be eager to help owners in arrears with payments start the process of selling those properties, meaning we are likely to see increased stock coming onto the market soon,” says Kriek. “The normal stock cycle in the property market will also return if sellers see positive signals, such as stagnation or decline in interest rates. Until that time, sellers are likely to hold out on selling as much as they can to avoid being price takers.”
 
Is it time to buy?
Of course, the best time to buy depends on various factors and conditions, changing from region to region, case to case and price range to price range.
 
However, Kriek says for anyone set on semigrating from the northern provinces to the Western Cape or elsewehere on the coast, the time is ripe to buy and they should not wait.
 
Properties selling against home loan debt typically carry an average sales value of around R1.3 million. Properties at this price point and anything below the average price have seen and will continue to yield a respectable return on investment. “Demand very clearly outstrips supply for properties priced below the average,” says Kriek.
 
The exception is properties in the very high range, above R4 million. "I see evidence that prices will come down further so it may be best for prospective buyers in that price range to bide their time until the market bottoms out,” says Kriek. “Of course, there are exceptions, such as Sea Point or Stellenbosch.”
 
Lastly, Kriek advises that, with interest rates having peaked, purchasers should opt for a variable interest rate instead of a fixed interest rate. "Homeowners taking advantage of the eventual drop in the repo rate can enjoy their property while reducing their bond repayments," he says.
 
ENDS
 
MEDIA CONTACT: Rosa-Mari Le Roux, rosa-mari@atthatpoint.co.za, 060 995 6277, www.atthatpoint.co.za  
 
For more information on Sentinel Homes please visit:
Website: www.sentinelhomes.co.za
Facebook: Sentinel Homes

Homes farther out, and more reasonably priced. This is increasingly what South African property buyers are looking for. “There are multiple reasons contributing to this trend,” explains Renier Kriek, CEO of home financing company Sentinel Homes.  
 
"Rising interest rates and the resulting decline in transaction volume are significant factors.
The increased proportion of ‘motivated sellers,’ selling because they are in a rising costs squeeze, are now likely to stabilise price growth until the rate hiking cycle eases off or starts to reverse.” 
 
According to Kriek, the consequences of the Covid-19 pandemic are also still very visible. “Office vacancy rates have increased, resulting in consumers no longer being as motivated by office proximity when selecting homes. This means they can search for value in outlying areas. Many even semigrate to other parts of the country. We also expect to see a rising level of commercial to residential conversions in urban areas.
 
Semigration and its cousin convenience
Kriek names the current hottest markets and sites for real estate investment as the coastal regions from the West Coast to Cape Town and Mossel Bay.
 
“The Mother City remains very popular despite high prices and strained infrastructure,” he says. “This thanks to their loadshedding buffer due to the City’s generation projects and other electricity initiatives, as well as the city’s lifestyle benefits.”
 
He claims that the Garden Route and George Airport’s close proximity make this popular tourist destination just as convenient as Cape Town.
 
“But it must be highlighted that the affordability benefit there is quickly waning because this area has become a focus for immigrants from both inside and outside the Western Cape.”
 
Finally, the West Coast (north of Cape Town) is also seeing a rise in the real estate market, thanks to its charming tiny fishing villages and rural communities like Langebaan, St Helena Bay and Paternoster.
 
“Consumers who work from home are discovering the real value in pricing that was previously only influenced by variables connected to the regional fishing and farming industry. Due to external demand for property, it is now unbound. On the other hand, gentrification problems may result from this and increasingly poor access to housing for families in the bottom half of the income spectrum is a real threat.”
 
Kriek says those still buying property in the economic hub of Gauteng, are shying away from freehold properties, such as single houses on larger plots in unguarded neighborhoods. “They prefer estates and sectional schemes. This is likely a search for safety and services,” he elaborates.
 
 Those entering the Gauteng property market will likely find the best long-term investment to be inside a security estate or secured sectional title scheme. Owners of freehold properties in more traditional suburbs may consider cashing out and moving with the trend in the interest of their longer-term financial well-being.”
 
Challenges for First Time Buyers
Kriek says that first-time buyers - who make up a very large proportion of purchasers - are moving into the property market much later. This trend is continuing to intensify.
 
The lack of affordable housing supply and inefficient housing finance market in the affordable or gap housing market, specifically properties priced under R750 000, contributes significantly to this trend.
 
“The National government, through the Department of Human Settlements, unveiled significant updates to their Finance Linked Individual Subsidy Programme (FLISP), now called First Home Finance, with the aim to improve access to affordable and gap housing. The expanded policy is still in the nascent stage of implementation, however, and its effects are likely not to be evident in market trends until next year.”
 
Kriek adds that Sentinel Homes offers the first open-market alternative to mortgages. By expanding access to housing finance, it is serving those 5%-10% of housing consumers who lack housing finance, despite being creditworthy and having the necessary disposable income.
 
“Now is the time in the property market cycle to escape the rent trap and start meaningful steps toward long-term financial health. Homeownership is a significant part of that equation,” says Kriek.
 
“You are more likely to buy something you can really afford if you buy it in the current conditions. There is the added upside that prices for properties priced around the average can only really go one way from here – and that is up!”

ENDS
 
MEDIA CONTACT: Rosa-Mari Le Roux, rosa-mari@atthatpoint.co.za, 060 995 6277, www.atthatpoint.co.za 
 
For more information on Sentinel Homes please visit:
Website: www.sentinelhomes.co.za
Facebook: Sentinel Homes